Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.