Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.