Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.