Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.