Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.