Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.