Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Forfar Athletic in this match.