Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.