Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.