Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.

Result
East Fife	Draw	Edinburgh City
66.5% ( 0.35)	20.02% ( -0.12)	13.48% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 47.42% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

0.01)

46.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

0.01)

68.63% (

-0.02)

East Fife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.96% (

0.1)

13.04% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.4% (

0.22)

39.6% (

-0.22)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.52% (

-0.34)

45.47% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.69% (

-0.27)

81.31% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

East Fife 66.48%

Edinburgh City 13.48%

Draw 20.02%

East Fife	Draw	Edinburgh City
2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.48%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.02%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.48%