Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elgin City in this match.