Scottish League Cup Gameweek 1
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park

Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queen of the South win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw has a probability of 21.77% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 0-1 (5.19%).

Result

Queen of the South 57.42% (-0.54)
Draw 21.77% (+0.74)
Kelty Hearts 20.81% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67% (-0.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.54% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 19.46% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 59.06% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 40.94% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 37.14% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 62.86% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 24.03% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.97% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Queen of the South 44.54% (-0.29)
Draw 36.49% (+0.13)
Kelty Hearts 18.98% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Queen of the South 60.45% (-1.13)
No Goal 5.34% (+0.14)
Kelty Hearts 34.21% (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 59.27% (-1.99)
Equal 8 11.08% (+0.25)
Under 8 29.66% (+1.74)
Over 9 47.86% (-2.08)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.08)
Under 9 40.73% (+1.99)
Over 10.5 37.06% (-1.97)
Under 10.5 62.94% (+1.97)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 1.5 57.09% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 42.91% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 31.93% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 68.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.27% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 84.73% (-0.49)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 55.92% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 44.08% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 25.32% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 74.68% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 9.1% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 90.9% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 2.75% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.25% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Queen of the South 57.42%
Draw 21.77%
Kelty Hearts 20.81%
Queen of the South
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.36)
Other @ 14.98% (+0.38)
Total : 57.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% (+0.39)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.12)
Total : 21.77%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46% (-0.15)
Total : 20.81%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Cameron Cooper 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Arnott 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Fisher 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Allan 29'
  • yellowcard Lawton Green 33'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Smith 46'
  • goal Jordan Allan 51'
  • yellowcard Mikey Hewitt 89'
Scottish League One Gameweek 21
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park
Scottish League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT New Central Park
  • Jacob MacIntyre 4' goal
  • Thomas O'Ware 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Cole 76' yellowcard
  • Brody Paterson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Lussint 29'
  • yellowcard Jack Hannah 30'
  • goal Jordan Allan 63'
  • goal Kai Kennedy 70'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Palmerston Park
  • Kyle Doherty 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 55' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Moore 45'+5'