Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.