Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Riyadh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.