Copa Sudamericana
Sep 16, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Djhordney 49' yellowcard
  • Dorival Júnior 71' yellowcard
  • Domingos Duarte 89' goal
  • Artur 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Lozano 60'
  • yellowcard Ángel Romero 90'+3'

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.59% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 45.85% ▼ (-1.47)
Draw 28.59% ▲ (+0.40)
Boca Juniors 25.56% ▲ (+1.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01% ▲ (+1.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.22% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 30.78% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 43.32% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 56.68% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 22.39% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 77.61% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 28.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 49.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Boca Juniors 22.3% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 51.91% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 9.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Boca Juniors 38.27% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 36.84% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 42.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 10.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 47.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 32.6% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 10.5 67.4% ▲ (+0.13)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 16.81% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 83.19% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▲ (+0.24)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% ▲ (+1.68)
Under 0.5 40.72% ▼ (-1.68)
Over 1.5 24.91% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 1.5 75.09% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 2.5 8.19% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 91.81% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.79% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 45.85%
Draw 28.6%
Boca Juniors 25.56%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.45)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.49)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.26)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 28.6%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Sep 9, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Miguel Merentiel 52' goal
  • Enner Valencia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri  70'
  • yellowcard Dorival Júnior 75'