CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 11am UK
VEB Arena

CSKA
2 - 0
Rostov

Chalov (4' pen.), Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Golenkov (32'), Komarov (82')
Melekhin (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 2-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawRostov
61.04% (0.706 0.71)21.17% (0.036999999999999 0.04)17.79% (-0.739 -0.74)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-1.57 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-1.381 -1.38)43.1% (1.387 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5% (-1.38 -1.38)65.5% (1.385 1.39)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)13.65% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18% (-0.46 -0.46)40.82% (0.465 0.47)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (-1.645 -1.65)37.78% (1.65 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-1.641 -1.64)74.56% (1.646 1.65)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 61.02%
    Rostov 17.79%
    Draw 21.17%
CSKA MoscowDrawRostov
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.524 0.52)
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 61.02%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.79%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Rostov
3-3
CSKA
Mironov (7'), Golenkov (12', 50')
Prokhin (90+2')
Khellven (26'), Chalov (65'), Fayzullayev (70')
Chalov (45+2')
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
CSKA
4-1
Rostov
Medina (9'), Chalov (16' pen., 33'), Willyan (25')
Chernov (78')
Selyava (16'), Silyanov (89')
Aug 28, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 7
Rostov
0-0
CSKA
Komlichenko (41')
Carrascal (30')
May 21, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
CSKA
4-0
Rostov
Fernandes (4'), Gbamin (10'), Oblyakov (52'), Diveyev (87')
Fernandes (56')
Aug 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Rostov
1-3
CSKA
Glebov (54')
Terentyev (90+3')
Bijol (8'), Chalov (36'), Maradishvili (89')
Bohinen (78')