Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.