Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 7.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 3-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.