Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.