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Ross County
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
St Mirren logo

Ross County
2 - 3
St Mirren

Spittal (37'), Iacovitti (66')
Cancola (48'), Callachan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Brophy (15'), Fraser (34'), Tanser (39')
Flynn (71')

Preview: Ross County vs. St Mirren - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Ross County and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ross County shall continue the search for their first victory of the Scottish Premiership on Saturday when they welcome St Mirren to Victoria Park.

However, they will face a stern test from the visitors, who are currently undefeated in their last five matches.


Match preview

St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

The only thing keeping Ross County off the foot of the table is goal difference, as their -10 is currently slightly better than that of Dundee.

However, the season has proven to be a very difficult one for the Staggies, who have not won a single game in the league to this point, which is something they desperately need to fix.

With only three points in the opening eight fixtures, Malky Mackay is under increasing pressure to provide results if the club wants to avoid relegation.

Last season, only three points separated them and the bottom two, which proves just how vital one victory can be, and a win does have the potential to see them overtake Livingston this weekend.

The Staggies put up a strong effort against Dundee United in their most recent outing, suffering a narrow 1-0 loss, but defensively the squad have not been tight enough so far.

St Mirren's Jamie McGrath pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Having conceded 16 goals already in this campaign, there is some serious improvement needed at the back if Ross County are going to fight for their survival.

St Mirren have not been one of the most prolific teams in the league as of yet, but they have scored six goals across their last three games, showcasing their attacking abilities.

They head into this match on the back of consecutive wins, with two performances that were very different, as the 3-2 victory against Aberdeen was far more frantic than the recent 1-0 over Livingston.

However, their ability to win in different ways is something that has served Jim Goodwin's team very well to this point, as they sit just outside of the top six.

The Buddies have the chance to possibly go level on points with Celtic this weekend, and that is something that they will be targeting as they face Ross County.

Ross County Scottish Premiership form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Ross County form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

St Mirren form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Mackay is likely to continue keeping his trust in the young players that he has picked throughout this season as he does not have any major injury problems to contend with at the moment.

However, he did switch to a back four against Dundee United, and while they still lost the game, his team only conceded once, which is why he might look to repeat the idea on Saturday.

Ethan Erhahon retained his place in the starting lineup for St Mirren against Livingston, and he rewarded his boss by scoring the match-winner, which will likely keep him in the team moving forwards.

The only major injury concern Goodwin has to deal with is with Greg Kiltie, who is unavailable at the moment due to a knee issue.

Ross County possible starting lineup:
Maynard-Brewer; Clarke, Baldwin, Lacovitti, Burroughs; Spittal, Paton, Tillson; Charles-Cook, Hungbo, Samuel

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Fraser, McCarthy, Shaughnessy; Millar, Power, Erhahon, Tanser; Ronan, McGrath; Brophy


SM words green background

We say: Ross County 0-3 St Mirren

Ross County have struggled so far this season and, currently, it is hard to see where their first victory would come from due to how they have been playing.

St Mirren will be hoping it is not them, and considering the strong performances that they have been putting in as of late, they should be expecting another three points this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Ross County vs St Mirren

Ross County
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
St Mirren
50.0%
10
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St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured on May 9, 2021
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6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Hibernian173682129-815
9Ross County173681333-2015
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