Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.