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Raith Rovers
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stark's Park
Aberdeen logo

Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Varian (48'), Zanatta (71')
Tait (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Emmanuel-Thomas (13')
Gurr (47')

Preview: Raith Rovers vs. Aberdeen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Raith Rovers and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Scottish Championship outfit Raith Rovers welcome Premiership side Aberdeen to Stark's Park for their second round encounter in the League Cup on Sunday.

The last time the two teams faced each other was in this round of the competition 11 years ago, with the Dons winning 3-2 on home soil.


Match preview

After being eliminated in the League Cup group stages in each of the previous five seasons, Raith Rovers finally progressed to the second round, finishing top of Group D with nine points from their four matches.

Despite losing 6-5 on penalties to Livingston, a shootout win against Alloa Athletic as well as victories in 90 minutes against Cowdenbeath and Brechin City, ensured John McGlynn's men finished top of their group and as one of six teams who remain unbeaten in the competition.

Since the group stages came to a conclusion, Raith have not had the best of starts in the league. In their opening fixture, they let a four-goal lead slip in the final 25 minutes against Hamilton Academical, drawing a remarkable clash 4-4 on home soil, before narrowly losing 1-0 against Inverness Caledonian Thistle last weekend, with Roddy MacGregor scoring an 80th-minute winner.

McGlynn, who will be slightly concerned that his side have struggled to see out games in the latter stages, now faces a much tougher task against Premiership opposition, though they were able to hold their own against Livingston three weeks ago.

Progression to the next round is unlikely for the Championship side, but they are sure to put up a fight in front of their own fans.

Aberdeen's Joe Lewis pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Aberdeen followed up their 2-0 Premiership victory over Dundee United on the opening day with a 2-1 win away at Livingston last weekend.

Former Dons forward Bruce Anderson gave the Lions the lead in the 35th minute, however second-half strikes from Teddy Jenks and Jack MacKenzie turned the game on its head to seal all three points for the visitors.

Since then, Aberdeen progressed into the Europa Conference League playoff round when they beat Icelandic side Breidablik 2-1 at Pittodrie in the second leg on Thursday, winning 5-3 on aggregate.

The Dons have not competed in the group stages of a major European competition since the 2007-08 campaign when they were knocked out of the UEFA Cup by German giants Bayern Munich in the round of 32.

A playoff tie against Azerbaijani side Qarabag is just round the corner, but Stephen Glass must first turn his attention to Sunday's clash with Raith, a side they have failed to beat in both of their last two visits.

The Dons have, however, looked strong in the early stages of this campaign and they will be confident in defeating lower league opposition this weekend.

Raith Rovers Scottish League Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Raith Rovers form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Aberdeen form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W


Team News

Aberdeen's Dean Campbell in action with Rangers's Ryan Kent in the Scottish Premiership on August 1, 2020© Reuters

Raith boss McGlynn is set to stick with a three-man defence of Kyle Benedictus, Tom Lang and former Scotland international Christophe Berra, with Reghan Tumilty and Liam Dick to operate as wing-backs.

Canadian attacker Dario Zanatta, who has contributed to three goals in his last five games, is expected to start in the number 10 role in behind new recruit Matej Poplatnik.

As for Aberdeen, they remain without centre-back Michael Devlin, who is suffering with an ankle injury.

With one eye on their playoff match in Europe, Glass may decide to rest some players, which could see the likes of Niall McGinn, Jack Gurr and youngster Dean Campbell handed starts this weekend.

New arrival Christian Ramirez, who has scored four goals in six competitive matches so far this season, could also be given a break with Jay Emmanuel-Thomas the most likely candidate to replace him up front.

Raith Rovers possible starting lineup:
MacDonald; Lang, Berra, Benedictus; Tumilty, Connolly, Matthews, Tait, Dick; Zanatta; Poplatnik

Aberdeen possible starting lineup:
Lewis; Gurr, Gallagher, Considine, MacKenzie; Ojo, Jenks, McGeouch, Campbell, McGinn; Emmanuel-Thomas


SM words green background

We say: Raith Rovers 0-3 Aberdeen

Despite keeping clean sheets in all four of their group stage matches, Raith may struggle to keep Aberdeen's attackers at bay this weekend.

The visitors have scored 14 goals in their six competitive fixtures so far this season, and we can see them adding to that total on Sunday, securing a comfortable victory at Stark's Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Raith Rovers vs Aberdeen

Raith Rovers
12.5%
Draw
8.3%
Aberdeen
79.2%
24
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General view of Aberdeen's Pittodrie Stadium from 2008
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1Ayr431010
2Stirling431010
3St Johnstone41033
4Stenhousemuir41033
5Alloa41033

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1Partick32107
2Falkirk32016
3Dundee Utd42026
4Spartans42026
5Peterhead40131

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1Livingston33009
2Hamilton22006
3Cove Rangers32016
4Brechin41033
5Clyde40040

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1Ross County33009
2Morton43019
3Kelty Hearts32016
4Stranraer41033
5Edinburgh40040

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1Airdrieonians440012
2Dundee43019
3Dumbarton31023
4Inverness41033
5Bonnyrigg Rose30030

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1Kilmarnock33009
2Dunfermline32016
3Raith Rovers22006
4Albion Rovers41033
5Annan40040

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
1Motherwell33009
2QotS22006
3Queen's Park41124
4East Fife31114
5Elgin40040

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
1St Mirren43019
2Forfar43019
3Arbroath31023
4Montrose31023
5Cowdenbeath20020


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