Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Shahaniya
46.68% ( -1.03)	22.7% ( 0.21)	30.62% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 64.17% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.54% (

-0.55)

36.45% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.4% (

-0.61)

58.59% (

0.61)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

-0.58)

16.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.55% (

-1.07)

45.45% (

1.07)

Al Shahaniya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.22)

23.54% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.32)

57.59% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Al Gharafa 46.68%

Al Shahaniya 30.62%

Draw 22.7%

Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Shahaniya
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.62%