Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.