Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Zagreb in this match.