Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
56.2% | 21.98% | 21.82% |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.14% | 40.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.75% | 63.25% |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.6% | 14.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% | 42.32% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% | 32.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% | 68.87% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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