Premier League Gameweek 38
Fulham
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Craven Cottage
Man City
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 21'
  • goal Erling Haaland 72'

Fulham vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 3 Fulham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Raul Jimenez

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Fulham 18.81% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 19.76% ▲ (+0.38)
Manchester City 61.44% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.82% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.26% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 2.5 34.75% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 3.5 43.3% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 3.5 56.71% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 4.5 24.85% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 4.5 75.15% ▲ (+0.84)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5 68.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 89.05% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 10.96% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 64.82% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 1.5 35.18% ▲ (+1.11)

Score analysis

Fulham 18.81%
Draw 19.76%
Manchester City 61.44%
Fulham
2-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 18.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.76%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.11)
0-5 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.10)
2-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 61.44%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 7
Man City
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Fulham
  • Mateo Kovacic 32' goal
  • Mateo Kovacic 47' goal
  • Jeremy Doku 82' goal
  • Ederson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pep Guardiola 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Pereira 26'
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 64'
  • goal Rodrigo Muniz 88'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Fulham
May 11, 2024 12.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Craven Cottage
Man City
  • Issa Diop 78' yellowcard
  • Antonee Robinson 90' yellowcard
  • Issa Diop 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 13'
  • goal Phil Foden 59'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 71'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Man City
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Fulham
  • Julian Alvarez 31' goal
  • Rodri 41' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ake 45'+5' goal
  • Erling Haaland 58' goal
  • Erling Haaland 70' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 90'+5' goal
  • goal Tim Ream 33'
  • yellowcard Issa Diop 43'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Bobby Reid 54'
  • yellowcard Andreas Pereira 69'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Fulham
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Man City
  • Carlos Vinicius 15' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 3'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 36'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Man City
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Fulham
  • Julian Alvarez 17' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 90'+5' goal
  • goal Andreas Pereira 28'
FA Cup
Man City
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Fulham
  • Ilkay Gundogan 6' goal
  • John Stones 13' goal
  • Kyle Walker 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 57' goal
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 4'

Form Data

Brentford 2 - 3 Fulham
Fulham 1 - 3 Everton
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Fulham
Southampton 1 - 2 Fulham
Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Fulham
Man City 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Man City
Southampton 0 - 0 Man City
Man City 1 - 0 Wolves
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups