Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.