Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 46.77% | 22.01% | 31.22% |
| Both teams to score 67.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.31% | 32.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.63% | 54.37% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% | 14.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.28% | 42.71% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% | 21.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% | 54.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 6% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-2 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.61% Total : 31.22% |


