Derby U23s
3 - 1
Chelsea U23s

Cybulski (59', 79'), Aghatise (60')
Bardell (24'), Watson (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soonsup-Bell (12')
Haigh (73'), Hall (89')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Chelsea Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Chelsea Under-23s
42.41%	22.63%	34.96%

Both teams to score 66.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.64%

34.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.72%

56.27%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13%

16.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1%

46.89%

Chelsea Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82%

20.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52%

52.48%

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-23s 42.41%

Chelsea Under-23s 34.96%

Draw 22.63%

Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Chelsea Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.63% 1-0 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 42.41%	1-1 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.96%