Man City U23s3 - 2Leeds U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 46.23% | 22.38% | 31.39% |
| Both teams to score 65.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.62% | 56.38% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% | 15.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% | 44.34% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% | 22.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% | 55.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% 1-0 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-3 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.39% |


