Oct 2, 2021 4.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

James Mcatee 10'
Luke Mbete-Tatu 58'
Shea Charles 86'

Isaac Hutchinson 16'
Connor Dixon 63'
Liam Thompson 84'

Manchester City Under-23s vs Derby County Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-23s

All competitions

D
W
W
W
W
D

Premier League 2 - Div 1

D
W
W
W
W
D

Last game

Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm

Man City U23s 2 - 2 Arsenal U23s

Goals scored

65

Top scorer

James Mcatee

Derby County Under-23s

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
W

Premier League 2 - Div 1

L
W
L
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 27, 2021 7.00pm

Spurs U23s 3 - 1 Derby U23s

Goals scored

30

Top scorer

Jack Stretton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.

Result

Manchester City Under-23s 58.4%

Draw 20.04%

Derby County Under-23s 21.56%

Both Teams to Score:

64.63%

Goals

Over 2.5 68.11%

Under 2.5 31.89%

Over 3.5 46.56%

Under 3.5 53.44%

Manchester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 89.12%

Under 0.5 10.88%

Over 1.5 64.99%

Under 1.5 35.01%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 72.52%

Under 0.5 27.48%

Over 1.5 37.03%

Under 1.5 62.97%

Score analysis

Manchester City Under-23s 58.4%

Draw 20.04%

Derby County Under-23s 21.56%

Manchester City Under-23s

2-1 @ 9.5%

2-0 @ 7.36%

3-1 @ 7.03%

1-0 @ 6.63%

3-0 @ 5.44%

3-2 @ 4.54%

4-1 @ 3.9%

4-0 @ 3.02%

4-2 @ 2.52%

5-1 @ 1.73%

5-0 @ 1.34%

5-2 @ 1.12%

4-3 @ 1.08%

Other @ 3.2%

Total : 58.4%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.57%

2-2 @ 6.14%

0-0 @ 2.99%

3-3 @ 1.96%

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 20.04%

Derby County Under-23s

1-2 @ 5.53%

0-1 @ 3.86%

2-3 @ 2.64%

0-2 @ 2.49%

1-3 @ 2.38%

0-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 3.58%

Total : 21.56%

Head to Head

Jan 18, 2021 7.00pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT

Archie Brown 58'
Cameron Cresswell 64'

Liam Delap 8'
CJ Egan Riley 47'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 59'
Finley Burns 69'
Liam Delap 74'
Liam Delap 76'
Liam Delap 81'

Sep 12, 2020 1.00pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT Etihad Stadium

James Mcatee 22'
Liam Delap 41'
James Mcatee 70'
Luke Mbete-Tatu 74'

Connor Dixon 28'
Josh Shonibare 45'+1'
Ethan Wassall 70'
Callum Minkley 86'
Luke Mbete-Tatu 88' (OG)

May 4, 2020 7.00pm

Sep 21, 2019 1.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jordan Brown 10'
Jahmal Hector-Ingram 54'
Josh Shonibare 70'
Morgan Whittaker 90'

Iker Pozo 28'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 45'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 53'
Jayden Braaf 64'

Dec 7, 2018 7.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

George Evans 56'
Jason Knight 99'

Richard Dionkou 45'
Rabbi Matondo 62'
Ian Poveda 64'
Felix Nmecha 80'

Sep 22, 2018 1.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Felix Nmecha 3'
Lorenzo Gonzalez 14'
Colin Rosler 20'
Benjamin Garre 74'
Iker Pozo 81'
Thomas Scott 89'
Nathaniel Ogbeta 90'

Louie Sibley 59'
Josh Shonibare 76'
Max Bird 83'

Form Data

Man City U23s 2 - 2 Arsenal U23s

Man City U23s 4 - 2 Palace U23s

Man City U23s 4 - 1 Chelsea U23s

Man Utd U23s 2 - 4 Man City U23s

Man City U23s 4 - 2 Blackburn U23s

Liverpool U23s 0 - 0 Man City U23s

Spurs U23s 3 - 1 Derby U23s

Derby U23s 3 - 1 West Ham U23s

Everton U23s 1 - 0 Derby U23s

Derby U23s 2 - 3 Leeds U23s

Derby U23s 0 - 2 Brighton U23s

Man Utd U23s 1 - 3 Derby U23s