Premier League 2 - Div 1 | Gameweek 5
Oct 2, 2021 at 4pm UK
 

Man City U23s
1 - 0
Derby U23s

Mcatee (10')
Mbete-Tatu (58'), Charles (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (16'), Dixon (63'), Thompson (84')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
58.4%20.04%21.56%
Both teams to score 64.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.56%53.44%
Manchester City Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12%10.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.99%35.01%
Derby County Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Under-23s 58.4%
    Derby County Under-23s 21.56%
    Draw 20.04%
Manchester City Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 7.03%
1-0 @ 6.63%
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.54%
4-1 @ 3.9%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.34%
5-2 @ 1.12%
4-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-1 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 21.56%