Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
