Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
