Everton U23s

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Derby U23s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.