Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Leicester City Under-23s had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Leicester City Under-23s win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
