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[monks data]
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 27
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Wigan logo

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Wigan

Hirst (62', 64'), O'Brien (87')
Curtis (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lang (38'), Keane (45+3')
Darikwa (42'), Amos (63')

Preview: Portsmouth vs. Wigan Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to formally seal promotion and win the League One title with victory on Tuesday night, Wigan Athletic take on Portsmouth at Fratton Park.

As one more point from their final two games will secure a return to the second tier after two years away, the Latics are in determined mood before facing a mid-table Pompey side with only pride left to play for.


Match preview

Wigan Athletic players celebrate their first goal scored by James McClean on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Still struggling to stumble over the line and complete their promotion mission, Wigan's winless streak extended to a fourth game at the weekend, following a 1-1 draw with playoff contenders Plymouth.

Though Jack Whatmough's second-half equaliser was enough to deprive the Pilgrims of victory, Leam Richardson's side are on a run of just two points from the last possible 12 and are yet to rubber stamp their elevation back to the Championship.

Nonetheless, that solitary point keeps the Latics top of the League One table; three ahead of both Rotherham and MK Dons.

With one game left to play, the third-placed Dons can only draw level if they win on the final day, but with an advantage of seven on goal difference, Wigan are all but assured of achieving their aim - even if they fail to beat Portsmouth.

The Lancashire outfit will surely want to end a successful campaign with a flourish, though, and as a win and draw from their remaining matches would guarantee the title, they will not lack motivation on Tuesday.

Portsmouth manager Danny Cowley pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Beaten 1-0 by Wigan in the reverse fixture, back at the start of a long and ultimately fruitless campaign, Portsmouth have failed to mount a promotion challenge of their own and even improved form since the turn of the year has failed to lift them into contention.

Danny Cowley's men were 3-1 winners over a lowly Gillingham on Saturday, as they posted a third win from four games to sit ninth in the table.

Republic of Ireland forward Ronan Curtis netted his 50th Pompey goal, with his two strikes coming at either end of the first half at Fratton Park, before Clark Robertson scored a third shortly after the interval.

Despite a dominant display, the South Coast side's campaign has effectively been over for several weeks, yet a recent run of 10 points from 12 available - including three wins on home soil - demonstrates the squad are still keen to impress Cowley before a probable summer clearout.

Just two points short of matching last season's final tally, which saw them finish eighth, Pompey must win both of their remaining fixtures to have any chance of leapfrogging Oxford United and matching that position when the campaign concludes next weekend.

Portsmouth League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Wigan Athletic League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Wigan Athletic manager Leam Richardson on April 2, 2022© Reuters

As they pursue the point needed for promotion, Wigan could again be without the experience of winger James McClean and centre-back Curtis Tilt for the trip down south, due to injury.

Long-term absentee Charlie Wyke is also sidelined, but Northern Ireland striker Josh Magennis overcame a knock to feature on the bench at the weekend and could be involved at some stage.

Leam Richardson is likely to retain his top scorers Will Keane and Callum Lang up front, though, as despite drawing a blank on Saturday they have plundered 40 goals between them this term.

Meanwhile, injured trio Kieron Freeman (ankle), Jayden Reid and Reeco Hackett (both knee) are set to be unavailable for Portsmouth on Tuesday; Connor Ogilvie was forced off against Gillingham but should be fit to start at left-back.

After being awarded Pompey's Player of the Season prize, Sean Raggett will once again lead the hosts' back four, in front of on-loan Manchester City goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu, who finished second in that poll.

Another Irish international, Ronan Curtis, is expected to continue on the left wing in a 4-2-3-1 formation, following Saturday's brace, which took him to a half-century of goals from 188 appearances for the club.

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bazunu; Carter, Raggett, Robertson, Ogilvie; Morrell, Thompson; Harness, Jacobs, Curtis; Hirst

Wigan Athletic possible starting lineup:
Amos; Kerr, Whatmough, Bennett; Darikwa, Naylor, Cousins, Pearce; Power; Lang, Keane


SM words green background

We say: Portsmouth 1-1 Wigan Athletic

Pompey's Fratton Park form has been strong in recent weeks, so Wigan will have a fight on their hands to pick up that promotion-winning point.

The champions-elect rarely fail to score, though, and will surely have enough firepower to secure both a draw and Championship football for next season.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Wigan

Portsmouth
35.6%
Draw
34.2%
Wigan Athletic
30.1%
73
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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