Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 39'
  • goal Guus Til 57'
  • yellowcard Mauro Júnior 75'

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Porto 47.9% ▼ (-0.68)
Draw 21.71% ▲ (+0.08)
PSV Eindhoven 30.36% ▲ (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.2% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 39.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 38.4% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 3.5 61.6% ▼ (-1.13)
Over 4.5 24.21% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 4.5 75.79% ▼ (-0.76)

First Half Winner

Porto 36.74% ▲ (+0.67)
Draw 34.19% ▼ (-0.36)
PSV Eindhoven 29.07% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Porto 54.92% ▼ (-0.37)
No Goal 4.52%
PSV Eindhoven 40.56% ▲ (+0.38)

Corners

Over 8 59.63% ▼ (-2.49)
Equal 8 11.01% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 8 29.35% ▲ (+1.95)
Over 9 48.29% ▼ (-2.82)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 40.36% ▲ (+2.48)
Over 10.5 37.53% ▼ (-2.90)
Under 10.5 62.47% ▲ (+2.90)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 50.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.99% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 25.3% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 74.7% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 10.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.47% ▲ (+0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 65.32% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 34.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.25% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 64.75% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 2.5 15.45% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 84.55% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 5.93% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 94.07% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Porto 47.91%
Draw 21.69%
PSV Eindhoven 30.38%
Porto
2-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.46)
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.42)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 47.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.69%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.37)
0-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.39)
Total : 30.38%