Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 1-3 (5.75%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 2-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.