Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.