Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Samuel Mraz 1' goal
  • Mathieu Scalet 62' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 90'+2' yellowcard

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 14, 2025 7.30pm
Szczecin 3 - 0 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Samuel Mraz

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2025 4.30pm
Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 1 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tomasz Pienko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.

Result

Motor Lublin 43.95% (-0.14)
Draw 22.96% (+0.02)
Zaglebie Lubin 33.09% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.46% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.58% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 41.27% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.74% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 23.17% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.84% (+0.03)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 82.84% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 17.16% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 52.6% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 47.4% (+0.11)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 22.19% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.41% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 55.6% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 43.95%
Draw 22.95%
Zaglebie Lubin 33.09%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.95%
Zaglebie Lubin
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.09%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Marek Mroz 58' goal
  • Jaroslaw Jach 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 23'
  • yellowcard Krystian Palacz 31'
  • goal Piotr Ceglarz 44'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 78'