Nations League
Gameweek
1
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fboslog.png)
-
Jakub Kiwior
19'
-
Jan Bednarek
82'
-
Matty Cash
86'
-
Kerim Alajbegovic
32'
-
Zinedin Smajlović
38'
-
Ivan Šunjić
47'
-
Sergej Barbarez
57'
-
Sead Kolasinac
81'
-
Amar Memić
89'
Poland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F09%2Fkai-taller-arena-akcji-sipa-usa-poland-striker-robert-lewandowski-in-a-press-conference-on-september-22-2026-6ab47b6b9c10e208928237.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.64% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result
Poland
56.6%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
22.64%
▼
(-0.06)
Bosnia-Herzegovina
20.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.66%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
23.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
53.82%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
46.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
31%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
69%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
18.54%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
81.46%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Poland
43.81%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
37.89%
▼
(-0.05)
Bosnia-Herzegovina
18.29%
▲
(+0.11)
Team To Score First
Poland
63.16%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Bosnia-Herzegovina
30.68%
Corners
Over 8
56.68%
▲
(+0.14)
Equal 8
11.82%
Under 8
31.5%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 9
44.74%
▲
(+0.13)
Equal 9
11.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
43.32%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 10.5
33.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 10.5
66.31%
▼
(-0.10)
Poland Goals
Over 1.5
53.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
46.87%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
27.46%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
72.54%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
11.19%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
88.81%
▼
(-0.10)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5
56.05%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
43.95%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
23.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
76.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
7.38%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
92.62%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
1.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
98.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Poland
56.6%
Draw
22.64%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
20.75%
Poland
1-0
@
10.98%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 56.6%
2-1 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 56.6%
Draw
1-1
@
10.64%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.64%
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.64%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-1
@
6.19%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.75%
1-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.75%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Mateusz Klich
20'
-
Jan Bednarek
36'
-
Robert Lewandowski
40'
-
Karol Linetty
45'+1'
-
Robert Lewandowski
52'
-
Anel Ahmedhodzic
15'
-
Miralem Pjanic
15'
-
Sead Kolasinac
44'
-
Haris Hajradinovic
83'
Nations League
-
Haris Hajradinovic
24'
-
Amir Hadziahmetovic
87'
-
Jan Bednarek
24'
-
Kamil Glik
45'
-
Kamil Grosicki
67'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
82'