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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7
May 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York Red Bulls

Philadelphia
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Burke (9')
Flach (90+1'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Long (52'), Nealis (61'), Yearwood (79')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

New York Red Bulls are gunning for a third league win on the trot on Sunday when they travel to Subaru Park to take on Philadelphia Union.

The home side are unbeaten in each of their last two games after suffering back-to-back defeats prior to that.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Philadelphia Union still await their first home league win of the season following a 1-1 draw against New England Revolution on Thursday.

Two goals in quick succession from Teal Bunbury and Kacper Przybylko in the final 10 minutes ensured a share of the spoils in Chester.

Jim Curtin's men are just outside the playoff places in the Eastern Conference on goal difference, and a win in this one would move them into the top seven.

Given their record in this fixture, Sunday's hosts will be poised to continue a run of three straight home wins against the visitors.

Gerhard Struber, now in charge of New York Red Bulls, pictured in September 2020© Reuters

New York Red Bulls made it two home wins in a row following a 2-0 victory over Toronto FC on Saturday.

Frankie Amaya and Caden Clark were on target in either half to hand Gerhard Struber's men a well-deserved three points.

The Metro have now recovered from their shaky start to the season which saw them lose each of the first two matches.

Sunday's visitors are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference at the moment, two points adrift of current leaders CF Montreal with a game in hand.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Philadelphia's Stuart Findlay misses out with a muscle injury which has kept him out since the start of the season.

Ilson Junior is sidelined with a groin problem, while Jack de Vries is expected to sit the game out due to a concussion.

Youba Diarra is yet to feature for the away side since picking up a muscle injury in his side's season-opener against Sporting Kansas City.

Patryk Klimala is unavailable for personal reasons, and the duo of Florian Valot and Jason Pendant are still nursing knee and shoulder injuries respectively.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Wagner, Elliott, Glesnes, Mbaizo; McGlynn, Flach, Bedoya; Monteiro, Santos, Przybylko

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Miguel; Gutman, Long, Nealis, Duncan; Davis, Amaya, White; Clark, Fabio, Casseres


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New York Red Bulls

We are anticipating a low scoring affair in this one with both teams renowned for being defensively frugal. However, we are also tipping the home side to claim a narrow win at the sound of the full-time whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls

Philadelphia Union
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
New York Red Bulls
25.0%
8
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Stuart Findlay celebrates with Scotland teammate Lawrence Shankland on October 13, 2019
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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