May 6, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Energy Check Stadium

Aidan Fitzpatrick 7'
Kyle Turner 24'
Robbie Crawford 45'
Brian Graham 45'+4'
Brian Graham 45'+4'
Daniel O'Reilly 83'

George Oakley 19'
Jamie Murphy 55'
Lenny Agbaire 78'
Jay Henderson 90'+2'
Joshua Clarke 90'+3'

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions

W
W
D
L
L
W

Ayr United

All competitions

W
D
L
D
L
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result

Partick Thistle 32.61% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 26.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Ayr United 40.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

51.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 53.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 25.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 74.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 4.5 11.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 88.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 30.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 33.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 66.83% ▲ (+0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 74.25% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 25.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 39.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 60.69% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Partick Thistle 32.61%

Draw 26.62%

Ayr United 40.75%

Partick Thistle

1-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.01%

Other @ 3.11%

Total : 32.61%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 1.01%

Total : 26.62%

Ayr United

0-1 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)

0-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.34%

Total : 40.75%

Head to Head

Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT The Energy Check Stadium

Robbie Crawford 12'
Logan Chalmers 19'
Luke McBeth 27'
Kyle Turner 36'
Josh Reid 43'
Stuart Bannigan 81'
Luke McBeth 85'

Cole McKinnon 51'

Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Somerset Park

George Oakley 3'
George Oakley 19'
George Oakley 36'
Nick McAllister 76'

Robbie Crawford 7'
Stuart Bannigan 72'
Harry Milne 87'

Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Energy Check Stadium

Kyle Turner 82'

Frankie Musonda 31'
Michael Devlin 39'
George Stanger 54'
Marco Rus 71'
George Oakley 88'

Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Somerset Park

Anton Dowds 25'
George Oakley 35'
Ryan Howley 45'+1'
George Stanger 90'+5'

Daniel O'Reilly 29'
Robbie Crawford 41'
Luke McBeth 44'
Harry Milne 74'

Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Energy Check Stadium

Kurt Willoughby 88'

Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm

4

3

HT : 3 1

FT Somerset Park

Nick McAllister 15'
Kurt Willoughby 43'
Kurt Willoughby 45'+2'
Harry McHugh 51'
Nick McAllister 56'
Harry McHugh 84'

Brian Graham 33'
Tomi Adeloye 78'
Jack Sanders 83' (OG)

Form Data

Livingston 0 - 1 Partick

Partick 2 - 1 Falkirk

Dunfermline 0 - 0 Partick

Partick 1 - 2 Hamilton

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Partick

Morton 0 - 1 Partick

Airdrieonians 0 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 2 - 2 Queen's Park

Livingston 5 - 0 Ayr

Ayr 1 - 1 Falkirk

Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Ayr

Ayr 3 - 0 Dunfermline