Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Abdul Rahman Baba 67' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Chatsidis 67' yellowcard
  • Giannis Michailidis 67' yellowcard
  • Giannis Michailidis 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Jeremejeff 77' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 34'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 43'
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutglà 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Rueda 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Rueda 62'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 66'
  • yellowcard Fer López 66'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 86'

PAOK vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.84% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

PAOK 53.68% (-0.03)
Draw 25.84% (+0.04)
Celta Vigo 20.48% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 31.57% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 42.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 21.87%
Under 3.5 78.13%
Over 4.5 12.12% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.88% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

PAOK 40.73%
Draw 40.5%
Celta Vigo 18.77%

Team To Score First

PAOK 59.23%
No Goal 9.61%
Celta Vigo 31.16%

Corners

Over 8 48.58%
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 39.09%
Over 9 36.9%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 51.42%
Over 10.5 26.73%
Under 10.5 73.27%

PAOK Goals

Over 1.5 44.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.88% (+0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 52.54% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 47.46% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 19.54% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.46% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.12% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.24% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.76% (-0.01)

Score analysis

PAOK 53.68%
Draw 25.84%
Celta Vigo 20.48%
PAOK
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.99% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 7.08% (-0.02)
Total : 53.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 25.84%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.48%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT