Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.84% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.