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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Famalicao logo

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 0
Famalicao

da Silva de Jesus (49'), Santos (50')
Djalo (82'), Carlos (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Figueiras (78'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (85'), Verdonk (87'), Riccieli (90+5')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Famalicao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Following last season's fifth-placed finish, Pacos de Ferreira will kick off their Primeira Liga campaign on Sunday with a home clash against Famalicao.

Os Castores head into this season without manager Pepa, who departed in the summer, and they will be keen to repeat last season's success under the new leadership of Jorge Simao.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira enjoyed a strong season last year, occupying fifth spot for the majority of the campaign.

Os Castores broke into the top five after a 2-0 victory over Braga in their 14th league game of the season, and they would not move for the remainder of the campaign, eventually finishing with an impressive tally of 53 points from 34 top-flight outings.

As a result, they earned a spot in the qualifying phase of the new UEFA Europa Conference League, although the departure of Pepa at the end of the campaign put a slight downer on the season overall.

With Jorge Simao now at the helm, they entered at the third round of qualifying in the continental tournament, and Os Castores played out a goalless draw with Larne Town in the first leg last time out.

That came after they progressed to the third round of the Taca da Liga, winning a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw with Gil Vicente, as a Denilson goal for Pacos de Ferreira was cancelled out by Bilel Aouacheria's equaliser on the hour mark.

At the start of a new era under Simao, Os Castores will hope to repeat last season's league success and will be keen to get off to a strong start before taking on Larne Town in an important second-leg clash next week.

Famalicao's campaign last year was notably different to that of Sunday's opponents, as they spent the majority of the season battling to avoid relegation.

They fell to the foot of the division after the half-way point of the season, but an upturn in form would see them climb out of the bottom three with 10 games to go.

Fama managed to remain outside of the drop zone for the remainder of the campaign, while three consecutive victories towards the end of the season fired them into the top half, as Ivo Vieira's men eventually finished in ninth place.

They then kicked off this season with back-to-back 1-0 wins to reach the third round of the Taca da Liga, with Ivo Rodrigues making the difference in their first-round victory over Feirense, before Bruno Rodrigues fired them to a win over newly-promoted Estoril Praia.

Those results will give Fama a confidence boost heading into the new season, as they look to achieve another top-half finish this year.

Pacos de Ferreira form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Famalicao form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W



Team News

Pacos de Ferreira come into Sunday's game without goalkeeper Jordi, who is out of action through injury, meaning Andre Ferreira will likely start between the sticks.

Midfielder Mohamed Diaby will also miss out, although the likes of Stephen Eustaquio still possess the ability to dominate the midfield battle, while new signing Rui Pires could get the opportunity to start.

The line should be led by Douglas Tanque, who hit nine goals in the top flight last season, while Denilson could also feature in the front line after arriving from Atletico Mineiro in the summer.

With ongoing links away from the club in the transfer window, Famalicao may be forced to keep 20-year-old star Manuel Ugarte out of Sunday's squad.

Gustavo Assuncao will continue to lead the midfield, while new arrival David Tavares should again feature in Ugarte's place.

Ivo Rodrigues and Bruno Rodrigues should both play key roles in the front line, having each hit a goal in the Taca da Liga.

Striker Pedro Marques recently arrived from Sporting Lisbon, and he could be thrown straight into the starting XI for the important season opener.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
A Ferreira; Silva, Baixinho, Maracas, Vigario; Santos, Eustaquio, Pires; Edenilson, Tanque, H Ferreira

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Queiros, Willian, Riccieli, Lima; Jaime, Assuncao, Tavares; B Rodrigues, Marques, I Rodrigues


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Famalicao

While we are yet to see whether Pacos de Ferreira will be the same side without Pepa in charge, we still expect them to start the season with three points on Sunday.

Famalicao will threaten them with their array of attacking talent, but this strong Castores side should have enough to get over the line.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:458305:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8329:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Famalicao

Pacos de Ferreira
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Famalicao
9.1%
22
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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