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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Mata Real
Belenenses

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 2
Belenenses

Santos (12'), Ferreira (20')
Pires (16'), Uilton (77'), Pedro (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ndour (60'), Safira (76')
Sousa (23')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of an opening-day defeat in the Taca da Liga, Pacos de Ferreira return home to take on Belenenses at the Estadio Capital do Movel on Monday.

The visitors, meanwhile, are yet to taste victory in the Primeira Liga this season and will head into the game looking to end this dry spell.


Match preview

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira were condemned to a 2-1 defeat in their Taca da Liga Group C curtain-raiser when they squared off against Boavista last Thursday.

After falling behind to Joao Pedro Silva's 20th-minute opener, Os Axadrezados upped the ante and turned the game on its head through second-half strikes from Yusupha Njie and Gustavo Sauer.

That poor performance was in keeping with their recent struggles in the league, where they have picked up one win from their most recent five matches.

With eight points from 18 available, Os Castores are ninth in the Primeira Liga table, level on points with Boavista and Gil Vicente, and will now look to end their struggles and strengthen their position in the top half of the division.

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

On the other hand, Belenenses failed to pick up their first win of the season last time out as they played out a 1-1 draw with Gil Vicente.

In an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Nacional do Jamor, an own goal from Ziga Frelih put Petit's men ahead before Giorgi Aburjania came up clutch for the visitors as he struck in the 92nd minute to force a share of the spoils.

That was a third draw on the bounce for O Belem, who were also involved in a share of the spoils against Moreirense and Vitoria de Guimaraes in their previous two outings.

With just three points from the first six games, Belenenses are currently rooted to the bottom of the standings but could rise up to 13th place should they secure all three points.

The underwhelming start to the season has been down to their struggles on the road, where they are yet to find the back of the net and have picked up one point from three outings.

While they will be looking to claim their first win and get their season up and running, they go up against a Pacos de Ferreira side who have won three of the last four encounters between the teams, including both home and away fixtures last season.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Pacos de Ferreira form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D


Team News

Pacos de Ferreira coach Jorge Simao pictured in August 2021© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira will take to the pitch without the services of 25-year-old defender Joao Vigario, who picked up a knee injury in August's Conference League qualification game against Segunda Liga side Larne.

He is joined on the club's injury table by fellow defender Fernando Fonseca, who has failed to shake off an injury he sustained against Braga two Saturdays ago.

Portuguese forward Helder Ferreira will also play no part in the game after picking up a straight red against Vizela last weekend.

Meanwhile, Sandro is out of contention for Belenenses after sustaining an injury in a pre-season tie against reigning champions Sporting Lisbon back in July.

Trova Boni returned to the fold last time out, having served a one-game suspension for seeing red against Moreirense back in August, and we expect the 21-year-old to handle business in the centre of the park.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Silva, Ramos, Maracas, Antunes; Uilton, Eustaquio, Carlos; Delgado, Tanque, Silva

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Carraca, Ribeiro, Phete, Akas, Varela; Camacho, Boni, Coelho, Sousa; Safira


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Belenenses

Following their slight upturn in form, we expect Belenenses to put up a fight in search of their first win of the season.

However, looking at their dire run of results on the road and past results between the sides, we are tipping Pacos de Ferreira to bounce back from their cup defeat and claim all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:465330:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9076:
Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Belenenses

Pacos de Ferreira
71.4%
Draw
24.5%
Belenenses
4.1%
49
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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