Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Linfield

Ryan (76'), McKendry (87')
Want (41'), Graham (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
K (32')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Larne had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Larne win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawLinfield
17.88% (-0.75 -0.75)24.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)57.18% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-1.014 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.19% (-0.677 -0.68)57.81% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.46% (-0.537 -0.54)78.54% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63% (-1.309 -1.31)46.37% (1.306 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18% (-1.025 -1.03)82% (1.022 1.02)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)20.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.091000000000001 0.09)52.51% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Larne 17.88%
    Linfield 57.18%
    Draw 24.94%
LarneDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.43% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-0 @ 2.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 17.88%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 14.98% (0.41 0.41)
0-2 @ 11.98% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 6.39% (0.195 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 57.18%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Linfield
1-0
Larne
Offord (59')
Shields (80')

O'Neill (63'), A (81')
Ryan (45+2')
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Larne
0-1
Linfield

O'Neill (13'), McKendry (89')
Cooper (9')
McCullough (45+3'), McKee (90')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Linfield
0-1
Larne

Fitzpatrick (18'), Cooper (80'), Shields (88')
McKendry (79')
Ryan (41'), Nolan (66'), McKendry (79')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Linfield
1-1
Larne
Millar (21' og.)
Millar (4'), Stewart (90+4')
Ryan (35' pen.)
Bonis (50'), Glynn (83'), Cosgrove (90+5'), Williams (90+5'), Ferguson (90+6')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Larne
1-1
Linfield
Bonis (8')
Gordon (68'), O'Neill (82'), Cosgrove (86')
Fitzpatrick (27')
Archer (18'), Hall (54')