Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Larne had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Larne win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.