NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 6.00pm
The Showgrounds

Coleraine vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Portadown 0 - 3 Coleraine
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Ben Doherty

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 1 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Brooks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coleraine win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw has a probability of 19.62% and a win for Crusaders has a probability of 16.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Crusaders win it is 1-2 (4.9%).

Result

Coleraine 63.45% (-0.68)
Draw 19.62% (+0.16)
Crusaders 16.93% (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.02% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 15.98% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 65.35% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 34.65% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 42.14% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 57.86% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 29.47% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 70.53% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Coleraine 46.3% (-0.18)
Draw 36.56% (+0.20)
Crusaders 17.13% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Coleraine 66.35% (-1.55)
No Goal 4.67% (+0.05)
Crusaders 28.98% (+1.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.92% (+4.11)
Equal 8 10.71% (+0.04)
Under 8 26.37% (-4.13)
Over 9 51.59% (+3.75)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.36)
Under 9 37.08% (-4.11)
Over 10.5 40.58% (+3.13)
Under 10.5 59.42% (-3.13)

Coleraine Goals

Over 1.5 64.11% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 35.89% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 39.38% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 60.62% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 21.21% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.79% (-0.01)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 50.9% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 49.1% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 23.43% (+1.01)
Under 1.5 76.57% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 8.55% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 91.45% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Coleraine 63.46%
Draw 19.62%
Crusaders 16.94%
Coleraine
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.37)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.29)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.18% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.21)
Other @ 20.69% (-0.02)
Total : 63.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.67% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.52% (+0.04)
Total : 19.62%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 4.9% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.63% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.93% (+0.21)
Total : 16.94%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Joel Cooper 46' goal
  • Mark Connolly 57' goal
  • Joel Cooper 65' goal
  • Matthew Shevlin 66' goal
  • Joel Cooper 90'+4' goal
  • goal Fraser Bryden 36'
  • yellowcard 49'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elliot Dunlop 58' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Glackin 17'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Lyndon Kane 66'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 90'+5'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 90'+6'
NIFL Premiership
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
May 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Declan McManus 3' goal
  • Charles Dunne 45' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jay Boyd 1' goal
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 26' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 54' goal
  • 60' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paddy Burns 45'
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jamie Glackin 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Blaney 35'
  • goal Harry Jewitt-White 90'+3'