CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 2.00am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nacional de Futbol
  • Juan Luis Perez 41' yellowcard
  • Juan Luis Perez 41' yellowcard
  • Jaime Moreno 54' goal
  • Jaime Moreno 54' goal
  • Juan Barrera 79' goal
  • Juan Barrera 79' goal
  • Marvin Fletes 84' goal
  • Marvin Fletes 84' goal
  • Fernando Salvador Insaurralde Cantero 87' yellowcard
  • Fernando Salvador Insaurralde Cantero 87' yellowcard
  • Marvin Fletes 89' yellowcard
  • Marvin Fletes 89' yellowcard
  • Oscar Acevedo 90' yellowcard
  • Oscar Acevedo 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Baal 16'
  • goal Ludovic Baal 16'
  • yellowcard Jules Haabo 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jules Haabo 45'+4'
  • goal Jules Haabo 62'
  • goal Jules Haabo 62'
  • yellowcard Zedan Charlec 64'
  • yellowcard Zedan Charlec 64'
  • redcard Zedan Charlec 68'
  • redcard Zedan Charlec 68'
  • redcard Jean-Claude Ducan-Darcheville 69'
  • yellowcard Jean-Claude Ducan-Darcheville 69'
  • redcard Jean-Claude Ducan-Darcheville 69'
  • yellowcard Jean-Claude Ducan-Darcheville 69'
  • yellowcard Ericsson Thervilus 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ericsson Thervilus 90'+3'

Nicaragua vs French Guiana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 3.00am
Nicaragua 0 - 2 Jamaica

French Guiana

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 10, 2024 8.30pm
French Guiana 2 - 3 Honduras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for French Guiana had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a French Guiana win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result

Nicaragua 57.21% (-0.03)
Draw 24.08% (+0.05)
French Guiana 18.71% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.44% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.31% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 53.69% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 24.82% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 75.18% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 11.25% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 88.75% (+0.11)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 81.4% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 18.6% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 50.11% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 49.89% (+0.15)

French Guiana Goals

Over 0.5 57.06% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 42.94% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 20.76% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 79.24% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Nicaragua 57.2%
Draw 24.07%
French Guiana 18.71%
Nicaragua
1-0 @ 13.43% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 57.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.07%
French Guiana
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.71%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal Dr. Edmard Lama
  • Gregory Lescot 12' yellowcard
  • Arnold Abelinti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Yohan Marmot 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Belli Moldskred 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Barrera 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Reyes 90'
  • goal Widman Talavera 90'+5'