Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 16, 2026 7.45pm
Toše Proeski Arena

North Macedonia vs Slovenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions

Slovenia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovenia win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for North Macedonia has a probability of 31.31% and a draw has a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest North Macedonia win is 1-0 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

North Macedonia 31.31% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 26.71% ▼ (-0.20)
Slovenia 41.98% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.32% ▲ (+0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.44% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 30.56% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 2.5 43.84% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 2.5 56.16% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 3.5 22.67% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 3.5 77.33% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 4.5 12.12% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 4.5 87.88% ▼ (-0.40)

First Half Winner

North Macedonia 26.69%
Draw 47.17%
Slovenia 26.14%

Team To Score First

North Macedonia 46.83% ▲ (+0.19)
No Goal 9.1% ▼ (-0.38)
Slovenia 44.07% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 47.46%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 40.2%
Over 9 35.88%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 52.54%
Over 10.5 25.9%
Under 10.5 74.1%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 1.5 28.81% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 71.19% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 2.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 2.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.04% ▼ (-0.09)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 29.32% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 37.15% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 62.85% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 14.68% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 85.32% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 31.32%
Draw 26.71%
Slovenia 41.96%
North Macedonia
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.71%
Slovenia
0-1 @ 11.66% ▼ (-0.34)
1-2 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 41.96%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Stožice
  • Sandi Lovrić 55' goal
  • Aljosa Matko 78' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Matko 82' goal
  • yellowcard Andrej Stojcevski 51'
  • yellowcard Jani Atanasov 57'
International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Visar Musliu 27' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 37' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 55' goal
  • Tihomir Kostadinov 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Stulac 52'
  • yellowcard Petar Stojanovic 53'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 87'
  • goal Domen Crnigoj 90'+7'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 10, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Goran Pandev 27' yellowcard
  • Visar Musliu 42' yellowcard
  • Stefan Ristovski 43' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 50' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 68' goal
  • Gjoko Zajkov 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 43'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 95'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josip Ilicic 19' yellowcard
  • Miha Zajc 34' goal
  • Bojan Jokic 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Egzon Bejtulai 14'
  • yellowcard Ilija Nestorovski 17'
  • yellowcard Visar Musliu 18'
  • yellowcard Boban Nikolov 19'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 47'