Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 50.11% | 24.39% | 25.5% |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% | 47.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% | 69.95% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.5% |