Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 39.33% | 24.78% | 35.89% |
| Both teams to score 58.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% | 44.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% | 67.08% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% | 56.25% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-1 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 35.89% |