Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
| 35.83% | 26.24% | 37.93% |
| Both teams to score 53.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% | 51.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% | 73.06% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% | 63.04% |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.93% |