National League

May 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
3 - 4
Southend

Rodney (8', 56' pen.), Bird (28')
Barlow (67'), Hogan (72'), Gordon (114')

FT
(aet)

Ralph (22'), Hopper (75'), Chambers-Parillon (80'), Kendall (101')
Chambers-Parillon (114'), Scott-Morriss (117')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Rochdale and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-0 Southend
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
44.83% ( -0.08)	25.83% ( 0.26)	29.34% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-1.14)

51.29% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-1.01)

73.12% (

1.02)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.52)

22.82% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47% (

-0.78)

56.53% (

0.78)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.72)

31.85% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

-0.83)

68.29% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 44.83%

Southend United 29.34%

Draw 25.83%

Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.83%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.34%