National League
May 15, 2025 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
ET Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 8' goal
  • Jay Bird 28' goal
  • Devante Rodney 56' goal
  • Aidan Barlow 67' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 72' yellowcard
  • Kyron Gordon 114' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Ralph 22'
  • goal Tom Hopper 75'
  • goal Leon Chambers-Parillon 80'
  • goal Charley Kendall 101'
  • yellowcard Leon Chambers-Parillon 114'
  • yellowcard Gus Scott-Morriss 117'

Rochdale vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 3.00pm
Braintree 2 - 0 Rochdale
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 3.00pm
Gateshead 0 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Rochdale 44.83% (-0.08)
Draw 25.83% (+0.26)
Southend United 29.34% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.71% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 51.29% (+1.16)
Over 3.5 26.88% (-1.01)
Under 3.5 73.12% (+1.02)
Over 4.5 12.57% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 87.43% (+0.68)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 77.19% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 22.82% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 43.47% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 56.53% (+0.79)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 68.16% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 31.85% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 31.72% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 68.29% (+0.84)

Score analysis

Rochdale 44.83%
Draw 25.83%
Southend United 29.34%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 10.73% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.83%
Southend United
0-1 @ 8.31% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Goodliffe 76' yellowcard
  • Macauley Bonne 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 84' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 17'
  • goal Devante Rodney 21'
  • yellowcard Jili Buyabu 71'
  • yellowcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 79'
National League Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 26' yellowcard
  • Jili Buyabu 49' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Walker 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Crowther 79'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 12.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 8' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 14'
  • goal Cian Hayes 42'
  • yellowcard Tiernan Brooks 65'
  • goal Devante Rodney 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 13
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 10' goal
  • Kairo Mitchell 24' goal
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 4'
  • goal Harry Cardwell 26'
  • yellowcard Jack Bridge 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jason Demetriou 56'
  • goal Harry Cardwell 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Cardwell 67'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena
League One Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luke Hyam 16' yellowcard
  • Ethan Hamilton 29' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Henderson 35'
  • goal Aaron Morley 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 43'
  • goal Callum Camps 77'